MUST READ(till end)

WORST Q3 PERFORMANCE: Bank of India:

Biz Degrowth.       -1.48%
Gross NPA.            36519
Net NPA.                19979
Restructured.           31576

  Assets of which
a)Standard Assets       17270
b) NPA.                      14306

Thus, Gross NPAs don't reveal the real mess, when we look at Restructured Assets size

Important:  

a) ReturnonAsset(-)0.93%
b)Cost to Income Ratio 56%- on a Very HIGH side
c)17270 cr (above referred restructured standard assets) may slip into NPA in future besides 36519cr NPA
d) Huge decline in Operating profit  4571cr as against 6061cr in previous 9 months
e)Write off of NPA 1956cr in 9months
f) FRESH SLIPPAGE of 22592cr in 9 months

From above, it seems that GNPA in Q4 may be 11% (9.18% in 9m) Outlook for next 2-3 quarters at least looks grim.

Problem is that investors and even analysts looking at main/current figures of banks ( as if bank biz is like mfg companies). No analyst so far scrutinizing Q3 financials as has been done in these columns

Bank of India Q3:Surgical Analysis like Never Before:      
                 
 Best ShortSell: Stock looks poised to skid :

BOI has reported Q3 Loss at Rs 1408 crores. However ACTUAL LOSS is higher by 240%. Notes attached with results HIDE losses worth 3484 crores. ACTUAL LOSS of Q3 alone is mind blowing Rs 4792 crores and not 1408 crores:

Declared loss cr        1408

Add following:

IncomeTax Write        689
Back

Impact of change     1170
In a/c policies due to decrease in provisioning on doubtful assets(Note no 5)

Diminution in FV of.  442
Restructured assets(NPV) written back in Q3 instead of Y.End

Profit on sale of          225
securities in HTM credited to P&L instead of crediting to Capital Reserve

DTA(Note 11).             772

Reversal of wage.        86
Revision
                                 -------------
TOTAL LOSS           4792
in crores.               -------------

Accounting jugglery has hidden losses worth 3484 cr which stand exposed by little scrutiny

Definitely BOI will not have such writebacks in Q4. So, will losses of Q4 will be similar to actual loss of Q3?

Gross NPA more than doubled (yoy) to 9.18%

Net NPA also more than doubled to 5.25%.

But wait for our next report/expose on REAL NPAs

Worst not yet over. 
TP Rs 75-78 Feb expiry
Can crumble to Rs 60-63 by April expiry
SELL SELL